The total fertility rate in Taiwan has reached the under-replacement level ever since the early 1980’s. The development is building a momentum towards the population decline in the next couple decades. A rapid population aging is then expected. According to projections provide the old-age dependency ratio can soar to above 50% level if the decline in fertility cannot be checked in the near future. It is then suggested that a well grounded social security system should be designed and put in effect to replace the family-supporting system, which is deemed to decline with the decline of survival number of adult children per parents, for the elderly’s income and daily living. To lessen the financial burden of the future generations, it is also suggested that a population policy aimed at preventing the fertility from future decline should be designed and enacted. To achieve the purpose, a tentative plan of promoting marriage and family formation has been proposed.

This paper applies the multiple-decrement life table to the analysis of mortality and self-reported disability by national samples, annually from 1986 until 1989, of population of age over 15. It was found that during this period of time, the shifts in ‘mortality’ and ‘disability’ curves conform to the compression hypothesis. The area in between the two curves have shrunk in the 4 year period. But since we have only 4 years of observation, and the mortality transition in Taiwan has yet to reach the final and rising stage, we tend to accept the result on a tentative basis.
The sex differential in disability has been examined. It is concluded that though at the younger ages women tend to spend less person-years in disability, the situation is quite different at older ages. Women tend to have greater chance and longer duration suffering from disability at old age than men. This is another indication that the compression in disability might be temporary.

Within seventy years (1920-1989), Taiwan area is accomplishing the population transition and epidemiological transition in fastest speed than the Western nations. This fastest transition in population and epidemiology causes the dramatic change in age structure. And, the aging population will be increasing faster in future forty to fifty years.
Based on cohort component method used by this study, the result of the population projection demonstrates that the aged population occupies 6% (1,200,000) of total Taiwan population in 1989, the percentage will increase to 10% (2,420,000) in 2009, and over 20% (5,320,000) in 2034. Additionally, employing the multilogistic regression, the result shows that even if the advanced medical standard and living standard can delay the occurrence of diseases to the final life stage of the elderly, the population of no self-care ability elder will still be increasing in fast speed. In 1989, the population of no self-care ability elder is 50,000. According to the methods of compression of morbidity (low projection) and failure of success (high projection), this no self-care ability elderly population will be 180,000 and 410,000 in 2034. In accordance with this huge aging population, based on this projection, in 1994, the necessary nursing professionals will be 2,405 (low projection) and 13,845 (high projection);11,709 (low) and 55,194 (high) in 2034. However, there are only 10 nursing professionals in 1989 and 30 health-care professionals in March, 1990 in Taiwan area.
Thus, the imperative need in in-home nursing professionals and multi-health-care system are suggested by this study.

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of age composition on labor force participation rate as well as the change of age-specific labor force participation rate for both males and females in Taiwan. Standardization technique from population method is used to analyze labor force participation data obtained from the Taiwan Manpower Utilization Survey from 1979 to 1990. Results from the standardization analyses indicated that the age composition change of from 1979 to 1990 has a leveling effect on the labor force participation rate (LFPR) for both males and females. During the period of time, rate of male labor force participation has been decreased while female labor force participation rate has been increased and then leveling off. Other things being equal, the exact increase and decrease of LFPR for males and females are all more than crude rate. The increase of LFPR of females in Taiwan is mainly due to married women entering the labor market and few of them quit after child birth; while the decrease of LFPR of males is attributed to the facts that the expansion of education opportunities for teenagers and the earlier retirement of the elder male population.

The Purpose of this paper is to compute the effects of changes in the composition of age, sex, and labor force participation rate, and education of population and labor force on the overall unemployment rate in Taiwan. The results show that the changes in the composition of age-sex and labor force participation rate have had a increasingly significant downward pressure on the overall unemployment rate. However, the compositional changes in the education-sex have exerted considerable upward pressure on the overall unemployment rate increasingly, the policy-makers should pay attention to this phenomenon. It not only wastes the educational resources, but also will exercise unfavorable influence on Taiwan’s economic development in the future.

No English abstract available.

No English abstract available.

No English abstract available.

No English abstract available.