In this study, we assume that socio-economic development is the underlying mechanism for population changes. In the past 50 years, Taiwan has experienced drastic socio-economic changes and rapid population change. Simultaneous equations are thus used to integrate the effect of Taiwan's socio-economic factors on the projection of its age-specific fertility rate (ASFR). The estimated ASFR is then used to make population projections for Taiwan in the period 2004-2033. The results of our low and medium projections are close to the official (CEPD) medium-high projection for the same time period. The results of the high projection for both studies are rather similar too. Specifically, if Taiwan's socio-economic development grows at a high variant, its fertility would rebound to replacement level by 2033. If it follows the medium variant, fertility would rise to 1.6 births per woman. But if Taiwan's future socio-economic development grows sluggishly as in the assumed low variant case, Taiwan's fertility would remain at a lowest-low level.

One of the purposes of China's one-child policy is to improve child wellbeing. However, past studies overwhelmingly focus on policy effect on fertility, and thus, whether the policy has achieved this goal remains unclear. This paper explores the relationship between the one-child policy and school dropout among adolescent children at the turn of the century, using the 2000 CHNS data. Policy is measured directly by local variations of policy strength (strict one-child policy, girl-exception policy and two-child policy) and indirectly by sibship composition. Analytical findings suggest that policy strength does not yield an independent effect on education. However, among children who have been educated beyond compulsory education, only children have a consistent, strong advantage in schooling relative to those with an older brother or two or more siblings. The results provide evidence to support the idea that promoting sibling equality in schooling and expanding compulsory education will necessarily help increase adolescents' educational opportunities.

From survey data we can find that the rate of relocation has declined significantly in the past decade in Taiwan. To understand the nature of this change, a conceptual model is developed to identify all factors that affect the joint decision regarding moving and location choice. Then a two-level nested logit model is used to empirically estimate the model.
The result shows the effect of education level on whether to move or not significantly increased from 1992 to 2002. This demonstrates that the advantage in employability in different locations with a higher education level has increased in this past decade. The result also shows that the probability of moving into the Taipei and Kaoshiung areas greatly decreased in the past ten years, while the probability of moving to Keelung, Taoyuan and Taichung increased. This shows the enlargement of the Taipei metropolitan area and the rise of Taichung metropolitan area.

This paper examines the impact of family background upon a child's educational achievement over five cohorts: 1930-39, 1940-49, 1950-59, 1960-69, and 1970-79. The data are taken from the Panel Study of Family Dynamics. Our empirical results suggest that (1) among all the variables related to family background, parents' social economic status plays an important role in determining their children's educational achievement, yet its influence declines over time; (2) the inverse relation between sibship size and a child's schooling accentuates for the cohorts 1950-59 and 1960-69; (3) the relationship between birth order and a child's schooling varies along different stages of economic development; (4) the effect of older sisters upon a child's educational achievement becomes negative after the 1950-59 cohort; and (5) ethnical differences mainly exist among the 1940-49 and 1950-59 cohorts.